Research

Updated: Mar 11, 2025

Refereed Journal Publications

* denotes advisee

  1. Truax, K., Dulai, H., Misra, A., Kuhne, W., Fuleky, P., Smith, C., Garces, M. (2023). Laser-Induced Fluorescence for Monitoring Environmental Contamination and Stress in the Moss Thuidium plicatile. Plants, 12(17), 3124. https://doi.org/10.3390/plants12173124
  2. Adyasari, D., Dimova, N., Dulai, H., Gilfedder, B., Cartwright, I., McKenzie, T., Fuleky, P. (2023). Radon-222 as a groundwater discharge tracer to surface waters. Earth-Science Reviews. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.earscirev.2023.104321
  3. Bond-Smith, S., and Fuleky, P. (2022). The Effects of the Pandemic on Hawaii’s Economy. Current Issues in Tourism. https://doi.org/10.1080/13683500.2022.2151875
  4. Truax, K., Dulai, H., Misra, A., Kuhne, W., Fuleky, P. (2022). Quantifying Moss Response to Metal Contaminant Exposure Using Laser-Induced Fluorescence. Applied Sciences, 12(22), 11580. https://doi.org/10.3390/app122211580
  5. DeMaagd, N.*, Fuleky, P., Burnett, K., and Wada, C. (2022). Tourism Water Use During the Covid-19 Shutdown, A Natural Experiment in Hawaii. Annals of Tourism Research, 97(1), 103475. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.annals.2022.103475
  6. Fuleky, P., and Szapudi, I. (2022). Bird’s Eye View of COVID-19, Mobility, and Labor Market Outcomes Across the US. Economics of Disasters and Climate Change, 6, 339–353. https://doi.org/10.1007/s41885-022-00110-0
  7. McKenzie, T., Dulai, H., and Fuleky, P. (2021). Traditional and novel time-series approaches reveal submarine groundwater discharge dynamics under baseline and extreme event conditions. Scientific Reports, 11, 22570. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-021-01920-0
  8. Fuleky, P. (2021). Nowcasting the Trajectory of the COVID-19 Recovery. Applied Economics Letters, 29(11), 1037–1041. https://doi.org/10.1080/13504851.2021.1907278
  9. Fuleky, P., Ventura, L., and Zhao, Q.* (2018). Common Correlated Effects and International Risk Sharing. International Finance, 21(1), 55–70. https://doi.org/10.1111/infi.12119
  10. Hirashima, A.*, Jones, J.*, Bonham, C. S., and Fuleky, P. (2017). Forecasting in a Mixed Up World: Nowcasting Hawaii Tourism. Annals of Tourism Research, 63(1), 191–202. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.annals.2017.01.007
    • The paper received the Polzin Prize for Best Paper at the fall 2016 AUBER conference.
    • Working paper title: Nowcasting Tourism Industry Performance Using High Frequency Covariates.
  11. Fuleky, P., and Ventura, L. (2016). Mean Lag in General Error Correction Models. Economics Letters, 143, 107–110. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.econlet.2016.03.028
  12. Fuleky, P., Ventura, L., and Zhao, Q.* (2015). International Risk Sharing in the Short and in the Long Run under Country Heterogeneity. International Journal of Finance and Economics, 20(4), 374–384. https://doi.org/10.1002/ijfe.1524
  13. Fuleky, P., and Bonham, C. S. (2015). Forecasting with Mixed Frequency Factor Models in the Presence of Common Trends. Macroeconomic Dynamics, 19(4), 753–775. https://doi.org/10.1017/S136510051300059X
  14. Fuleky, P., and Zivot, E. (2014). Indirect Inference Based on the Score. Econometrics Journal, 17(3), 383–393. https://doi.org/10.1111/ectj.12028
  15. Fuleky, P., Zhao, Q.*, and Bonham, C. S. (2014). Estimating Demand Elasticities in Non-Stationary Panels. Annals of Tourism Research, 44(1), 131–142. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.annals.2013.09.006
  16. Fuleky, P. (2012). On the Choice of the Unit Period in Time Series Models. Applied Economics Letters, 19(12), 1179–1182. https://doi.org/10.1080/13504851.2011.617685

Books and Chapters

  1. Fuleky, P. (Ed.). (2020). Macroeconomic Forecasting in the Era of Big Data: Theory and Practice. Springer. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-31150-6
  2. Doz, C., and Fuleky, P. (2020). Dynamic Factor Models. In: Fuleky, P. (Ed.), Macroeconomic Forecasting in the Era of Big Data (pp. 27–64). Springer. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-31150-6_2

Scholarly Work in Progress

  1. Coincident Index of Economic Conditions in Hawaii
  2. Estimating Permitting Delays (with Isabelle Picciotto*)
  3. Real-Time Benchmarking of Non-farm Payrolls
  4. Forecasting Multi-Equation Behavioral Models with R (book)
  5. Rainfall, Fire Risk and Housing Prices in Hawaii (with Talal Khan*, Nori Tarui and Makena Coffman), submitted to Journal of Environmental Economics and Management
  6. Forecast Scenarios Under Climate Change

Grants

  1. Hawaiian Electric Companies: Custom Regional Economic Forecasting and Consulting Services. PI: P. Fuleky, CI: C. Bonham. Funding period: Jul 2023 – Jun 2026, $236,034.
  2. UH Sea Grant (NOAA): Economic impacts of severe weather events. PI: P. Fuleky, CI: M. Coffman, V. Keener, N. Tarui. Funding period: Feb 2022 – Jan 2024, $145,684.
  3. Hawaiian Electric Companies: Custom Regional Economic Forecasting and Consulting Services. PI: P. Fuleky, CI: C. Bonham. Funding period: Jul 2020 – Jun 2023, $217,475.
  4. Hawaiian Electric Companies: Custom Regional Economic Forecasting and Consulting Services. PI: P. Fuleky, CI: C. Bonham. Funding period: Jul 2017 – Jun 2020, $212,603.
  5. UH Sea Grant (NOAA): Economic Activity, Technological Progress, and Water Resource Utilization on Oahu. PI: P. Fuleky, CI: K. Burnett. Funding period: Feb 2018 – Jan 2020, $48,056.
  6. Hawaiian Electric Companies: Custom Regional Economic Forecasting and Consulting Services. PI: C. Bonham, CI: P. Fuleky. Funding period: Jul 2014 – Jun 2017, $204,313.
  7. UH Sea Grant (NOAA): Groundwater-Derived Nutrient Uptake in Coastal Ecosystems as a Driver of Shifts in the Accretion-Erosion Balance. PI: H. Dulai, CI: P. Fuleky. Funding period: Feb 2014 – Jan 2016, $92,150.